NFL FREE PICKS
Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season has some pretty exciting matchups, with two games so statistically close that there is less than one point difference between them!
Starting off with TNF, we have the Ravens and Bengals, SNF has the Broncos facing off against the Jets, and MNF has the Chiefs and the Eagles battling it out to round off the week.
Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals
Date: Thursday, November 16, 2023
Venue: MT&T Bank Stadium
Time: 8:15 pm
| Ravens | Category | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | OFFENSE | 27th |
| 4th | DEFENSE | 27th |
| 16th | PASSING | 19th |
| 1st | RUSHING | 32nd |
At M&T Bank Stadium, the Baltimore Ravens (7-3) will face the Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) on Thursday, with Baltimore favored by 3.5 points and a total scoreline set at 46.
At 5-4, the Bengals are coming off a narrow 30-27 loss to the Texans. Joe Burrow threw for 347 yards and two touchdowns but also had two interceptions. Ja’Marr Chase and Joe Mixon were key contributors, with the team amassing 380 total yards.
They average 20.2 points per game and struggle in the run game, ranking 32nd with 74.8 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Cincinnati allows 21.3 points per game and struggles against the run, conceding 136.2 rushing yards per game.
The Ravens, with a 7-3 record, lost 33-31 to the Browns in their last outing. Lamar Jackson led with 223 passing yards and 41 rushing yards despite two interceptions. Baltimore’s offense averages 27.0 points per game, primarily through their robust rushing attack. They rank 9th in total offense and 1st in points allowed, giving up only 15.7 points per game. Their pass defense is strong, ranking 4th in the league.
Who do you think will win this week’s Ravens/Bengals against the spread?
Prediction: The Ravens are sitting comfortably at 4th in both Offense and Defense, while the Bengals are tilted to the opposite end of the ranks coming in at 27th for both Offense and defense. Based on those statistics alone we should see a Raven win here.
Betting Pick: Ravens 24-17
| Team Stats | CIN | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2881 | 3764 |
| Passing Yards | 2042 | 2078 |
| Rushing Yards | 673 | 1549 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 182 | 270 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 9 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 6 | 5 |
| Sacks Allowed | 22 | 24 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 37% | 44% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 266:59 | 290:58 |
| Penalties | 41 | 59 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3599 | 3053 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2230 | 1731 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1226 | 1005 |
| Points Allowed | 192 | 157 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 6 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 10 |
| Sacks | 23 | 39 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 43% | 36% |
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
| Browns | Category | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | OFFENSE | 30th |
| 1st | DEFENSE | 25th |
| 26th | PASSING | 30th |
| 4th | RUSHING | 22nd |
The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3) visit Cleveland Browns Stadium to challenge the Cleveland Browns (6-3). Pittsburgh enters as 4-point underdogs with the over/under set at 36.
The Steelers, coming off a 23-19 victory against the Packers, showcase a balanced attack. Kenny Pickett led the passing game with 126 yards, while Jaylen Warren spearheaded the ground game with 101 yards. Overall, Pittsburgh averages 17.3 points per game and ranks 20th in rushing with 103.2 yards per game.
Their defense, allowing 20.2 points per game, struggles against the pass but needs to be stronger against the run.
The Browns, also at 6-3, edged out the Ravens 33-31 in their last outing. Deshaun Watson threw for 213 yards with a touchdown and an interception, while Jerome Ford led the rushing with 107 yards. Cleveland’s offense, averaging 23.8 points per game, leans heavily on its running game, ranking high in the league.
Their defense, top-ranked against the pass, concedes just 18.9 points per game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Browns/Steelers against the spread?
Prediction: While the Browns dont have the best offense in the game this season, they do have the best defense, and with the Steelers offense ranking 30th we can’t see the Steelers making much of a dent this week.
Betting Pick: Browns 22-18
| Team Stats | PIT | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2701 | 3194 |
| Passing Yards | 1623 | 1668 |
| Rushing Yards | 929 | 1331 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 150 | 208 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 7 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 6 | 12 |
| Sacks Allowed | 20 | 28 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 36% | 33% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 292:15 | 232:11 |
| Penalties | 49 | 62 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3582 | 2383 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2236 | 1360 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1181 | 824 |
| Points Allowed | 182 | 170 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 8 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 9 |
| Sacks | 27 | 30 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 41% | 25% |
Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
| Dolphins | Category | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | OFFENSE | 25th |
| 10th | DEFENSE | 24th |
| 2nd | PASSING | 22nd |
| 3rd | RUSHING | 29th |
The Miami Dolphins (6-3) host the Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) at Hard Rock Stadium, with Miami favored by 12 points and an over/under of 46.
The Raiders, fresh from a narrow 16-12 victory over the Jets, show a balanced offensive approach. Josh Jacobs led the rush with 116 yards, while Davante Adams added 86 receiving yards. Quarterback Aidan O’Connell threw for 153 yards with a touchdown and an interception.
The Raiders average 17.2 points per game but struggle in the running game, ranking 30th in the league with 83.3 yards per game. Their defense, allowing 20.5 points per game, is stronger against the pass than the run.
Miami, coming off a 21-14 loss to the Chiefs, boasts a high-powered offense led by Tua Tagovailoa, who threw for 193 yards and a touchdown. Tyreek Hill and Raheem Mostert were key contributors, with the Dolphins averaging 31.7 points per game and ranking 1st in both passing yards and total offense.
However, their defense, conceding 25.0 points per game, shows vulnerabilities, especially against the pass.
Who do you think will win this week’s Dolphins/Raiders against the spread?
Prediction: Miami’s defense is the only thing letting the other team score, with their offense, passing and rushing all ranked in the top three against the Raiders who are floating in the 20s in every department we will be seeing a Dolphins win this week.
Betting Pick: Dolphins 28-21
| Team Stats | LV | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2944 | 4007 |
| Passing Yards | 1921 | 2587 |
| Rushing Yards | 833 | 1331 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 7 |
| Points Scored | 172 | 285 |
| Fumbles Lost | 4 | 5 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 14 | 8 |
| Sacks Allowed | 25 | 15 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 33% | 39% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 319:03 | 276:30 |
| Penalties | 51 | 54 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3488 | 3096 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1987 | 1946 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1356 | 956 |
| Points Allowed | 205 | 225 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 2 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 4 |
| Sacks | 26 | 29 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 43% | 36% |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Ford Field
Time: 1:00 pm
| Lions | Category | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd | OFFENSE | 15th |
| 8th | DEFENSE | 21st |
| 6th | PASSING | 24th |
| 7th | RUSHING | 2nd |
At Ford Field, the Detroit Lions (7-2) are set to battle the Chicago Bears (3-7). Detroit enters as 10-point favorites, with the total set at 47.
The Bears, coming off a narrow 16-13 win over the Panthers, lean heavily on their ground game. With 162 passing yards and no interceptions, Tyson Bagent managed the offense effectively. D’Onta Foreman led the rush with 80 yards.
Despite their efforts, Chicago’s offense averages just 20.4 points per game, with their running game ranking 5th in the NFL. They’ve accumulated 3,228 total yards this season. Defensively, the Bears struggle, allowing 25.5 points per game and ranking 30th against the pass.
On a high after a 41-38 win over the Chargers, the Lions boast a dynamic offense. Jared Goff threw for 333 yards and two touchdowns, while David Montgomery’s 116 rushing yards highlighted their ground attack.
Detroit’s offense ranks 6th in the NFL with 26.8 points per game, supported by the 4th-best passing game and a solid rushing attack. Their defense, however, gives up 22.6 points per game, ranking 21st in the NFL, and shows weaknesses against both the pass and the run.
Who do you think will win this week’s Lions/Bears against the spread?
Prediction: While the Bears are ranked 2nd in rushing, the Lions have a solid team this year well outranking the Bears this week. Lions for the win.
Betting Pick: Lions 26-21
| Team Stats | CHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3411 | 3758 |
| Passing Yards | 1877 | 2407 |
| Rushing Yards | 1351 | 1251 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 204 | 241 |
| Fumbles Lost | 6 | 5 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 12 | 5 |
| Sacks Allowed | 30 | 16 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 43% | 39% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 295:33 | 242:28 |
| Penalties | 66 | 50 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3318 | 2972 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2482 | 2084 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 760 | 712 |
| Points Allowed | 255 | 203 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 3 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 8 |
| Sacks | 13 | 21 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 45% | 34% |
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: TIAA Bank Field
Time: 1:00 pm
| Jaguars | Category | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| 21st | OFFENSE | 28th |
| 17th | DEFENSE | 12th |
| 21st | PASSING | 27th |
| 16th | RUSHING | 17th |
The Jacksonville Jaguars (6-3) host the Tennessee Titans (3-6) at TIAA Bank Field, with Tennessee entering as 6.5-point underdogs and an over/under of 40.
The Titans, reeling from a 20-6 loss to the Buccaneers, have struggled offensively. Quarterback Will Levis managed 199 yards passing with a 53.3 QB rating, hampered by an interception. Derrick Henry, usually a rushing powerhouse, was limited to 24 yards on 11 carries.
Tennessee’s offense averages just 17.1 points per game and ranks 16th in rushing. Defensively, they’re more robust, allowing 20.0 points per game and standing 10th in the NFL, despite some vulnerabilities against the pass.
After a heavy 34-3 defeat against the 49ers, the Jaguars are looking to bounce back. Trevor Lawrence threw for 185 yards but was intercepted twice. The running game, led by Travis Etienne with 35 yards and a standout performance by receiver Christian Kirk couldn’t offset their struggles.
Jacksonville averages 21.8 points per game, ranking 16th in the NFL. Their defense, however, is a concern, especially against the pass where they rank 30th, conceding 266.8 yards per game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Jaguars/Titans against the spread?
Prediction: This game could hinge on whether Tennessee’s run game can find its rhythm and if Jacksonville’s defense can contain it while shoring up against the pass. should be a close one but we see the Jags winning.
Betting Pick: Jaguars 21-19
| Team Stats | TEN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2861 | 3105 |
| Passing Yards | 1667 | 1993 |
| Rushing Yards | 958 | 959 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 154 | 196 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 11 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 8 | 6 |
| Sacks Allowed | 33 | 24 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 33% | 35% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 274:50 | 261:30 |
| Penalties | 54 | 44 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3219 | 3279 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2047 | 2401 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 995 | 778 |
| Points Allowed | 180 | 190 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 4 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 11 |
| Sacks | 24 | 18 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 40% | 34% |
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field
Time: 1:00 pm
| Packers | Category | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| 23rd | OFFENSE | 16th |
| 9th | DEFENSE | 28th |
| 23rd | PASSING | 10th |
| 23rd | RUSHING | 24th |
The Green Bay Packers (3-6) host the Los Angeles Chargers (4-5) at Lambeau Field, with the Chargers favored by 3 points and an over/under of 44.
The Chargers, coming off a narrow 41-38 loss to the Lions, boast a potent offense led by Justin Herbert, who threw for 323 yards and 4 TDs. Austin Ekeler spearheads their running game, but their rushing defense has been a weak spot, allowing 6.5 yards per carry against the Lions.
Los Angeles averages 26.6 points per game, but defensively, they rank 31st in the NFL, surrendering 393.2 yards per game, a concern against any opponent.
Green Bay, reeling from a 23-19 loss to the Steelers, sees room for improvement. Jordan Love threw for 289 yards with two touchdowns but was marred by two interceptions. AJ Dillon led the rushing attack, yet Green Bay’s overall offense ranks 21st in the league, averaging 19.9 points per game.
They’ve been more effective on defence, ranking 12th in points allowed per game at 20.2 and 7th against the pass.
Who do you think will win this week’s Packers/Chargers against the spread?
Prediction: Neither of these teams have been playing incredibly well this season, but we can’t look past the Chargers defense which is struggling to say the least with a huge gap in their passing yards, if the Packers are able to find the gaps in the Chargers defense we should see a close win by the Packers, otherwise the Chargers might give them a shock.
Betting Pick: Chargers 24-22
| Team Stats | LAC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3305 | 2942 |
| Passing Yards | 2242 | 1880 |
| Rushing Yards | 907 | 919 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 239 | 179 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 2 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 5 | 10 |
| Sacks Allowed | 20 | 19 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 42% | 42% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 285:17 | 284:57 |
| Penalties | 48 | 65 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3759 | 3019 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2621 | 1688 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 918 | 1197 |
| Points Allowed | 215 | 182 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 9 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 5 |
| Sacks | 31 | 21 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 33% | 37% |
Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: NRG Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
| Texans | Category | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| 11th | OFFENSE | 20th |
| 14th | DEFENSE | 26th |
| 4th | PASSING | 25th |
| 26th | RUSHING | 6th |
The Houston Texans (5-4) host the struggling Arizona Cardinals (2-8) at NRG Stadium, with Arizona positioned as 4-point underdogs and a total points line set at 48.
The Cardinals, fresh off a narrow 25-23 victory over the Falcons, have struggled this season, particularly on defense. Kyler Murray led their passing attack with 249 yards and 1 TD, but their defense allowed 4.5 yards per rush, a vulnerability the Texans may exploit.
Arizona averages 17.6 points per game but has been lackluster defensively, ranking 28th in the NFL by conceding 26.3 points per game. They’ve surrendered 342.6 yards per game overall, a statistic that places them 22nd in the league.
Houston, on a high from a 30-27 win against the Bengals, showcases a potent offense led by C.J. Stroud, who threw for 356 yards and 1 TD. Devin Singletary’s ground game, averaging 5.0 yards per carry, could be key against Arizona’s shaky run defense.
The Texans average 24.1 points per game, ranking them 10th in the NFL, and their offense is 6th overall in yardage, highlighting their capability to exploit Arizona’s defensive shortcomings.
The Texans’ defense, however, is middle of the pack, allowing 21.3 points per game. They’ve been particularly vulnerable against the pass, ranking 24th in the NFL, which could offer Murray and the Cardinals an avenue to keep the game competitive.
Who do you think will win this week’s Texans/Cardinals against the spread?
Prediction: The Cardinals are great at the rushing game, but will they be able to break through the Texans defense is the question. There is just a little too much in the Texans favor this week which should see them get the win.
Betting Pick: Texans 25-19
| Team Stats | ARI | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3145 | 3516 |
| Passing Yards | 1694 | 2469 |
| Rushing Yards | 1265 | 884 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 170 | 217 |
| Fumbles Lost | 5 | 6 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 8 | 2 |
| Sacks Allowed | 26 | 19 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 35% | 41% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 320:32 | 272:49 |
| Penalties | 69 | 62 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3629 | 3213 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2084 | 2218 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1342 | 842 |
| Points Allowed | 263 | 192 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 5 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 6 |
| Sacks | 28 | 21 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 44% | 41% |
Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
| Panthers | Category | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| 32nd | OFFENSE | 7th |
| 7th | DEFENSE | 2nd |
| 28th | PASSING | 9th |
| 30th | RUSHING | 13th |
The Dallas Cowboys, with a 6-3 record, will face off against the Carolina Panthers, who have one win and eight losses, at Bank of America Stadium.
The Cowboys are coming off a dominant 49-17 victory over the Giants. Quarterback Dak Prescott impressed with 404 passing yards and four touchdowns, achieving a 138.3 rating. The team’s ground game was effective, with Rico Dowdle leading with 79 yards on 12 carries.
Receiver Brandin Cooks contributed significantly with 173 yards on nine catches. Overall, Dallas amassed 640 total yards, demonstrating a solid offensive performance.
The Cowboys’ offense averages 29.9 points per game, with a significant portion of their yardage (117.9 per game) coming from their running game. They’ve accumulated 3,412 yards this season and have been penalized 69 times for 544 yards. Their defense is also noteworthy, allowing only 18.3 points per game and ranking 3rd in the NFL for total yards allowed per game.
The Panthers, on the other hand, are struggling this season. In their last game, a 16-13 loss to the Bears, their offense was unable to find a rhythm. Running back Chuba Hubbard managed just 23 yards, and quarterback Bryce Young threw for 185 yards.
Defensively, they allowed 133 rushing yards and are giving up an average of 26.9 points per game, placing them near the bottom of the league. Their offense averages only 275.6 yards per game, with the passing game particularly weak at 185.2 yards per game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Panthers/Cowboys against the spread?
Prediction: The Cowboys stats speak for themselves this week clearly outranking the Panthers in every department, while the Panthers do have a decent defense they are going to need to bring their A-game to hold back the Cowboys (and we don’t see that happening). Cowboys to take the win.
Betting Pick: Cowboys 28-17
| Team Stats | DAL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3575 | 2741 |
| Passing Yards | 2351 | 1667 |
| Rushing Yards | 1061 | 813 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 263 | 153 |
| Fumbles Lost | 3 | 4 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 7 | 7 |
| Sacks Allowed | 23 | 32 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 47% | 37% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 246:13 | 262:31 |
| Penalties | 69 | 62 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2635 | 2900 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1494 | 1588 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 982 | 1187 |
| Points Allowed | 165 | 242 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 5 |
| Sacks | 26 | 17 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 32% | 35% |
Washington Commanders vs New York Giants
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: FedEx Field
Time: 1:00 pm
| Commanders | Category | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | OFFENSE | 29th |
| 32nd | DEFENSE | 31st |
| 5th | PASSING | 32nd |
| 27th | RUSHING | 12th |
The Washington Commanders, with a 4-6 record, will host the New York Giants, who stand at 2-8, at FedExField this Sunday. The Giants, facing challenges this season, are 10-point underdogs with an over/under set at 37.5.
In their recent outing, the Giants suffered a 49-17 loss to the Cowboys. Quarterback Tommy DeVito completed 14 of 27 passes for 86 yards, throwing two touchdowns and an interception. Saquon Barkley led the rushing attack with 66 yards on 13 carries. The team managed 172 total yards, struggling particularly in the air with only 86 passing yards. Defensively, the Giants gave up 168 rushing yards and 472 passing yards, indicating areas of vulnerability.
Offensively, the Giants are averaging 11.8 points per game and rank 14th in the league in rushing, with 113.6 yards per game. Their total yardage stands at 2,592, but penalties have been a concern, with 57 for 463 yards. Their defense ranks 29th in the NFL, allowing 26.6 points per game and struggling against both the run and the pass.
The Commanders, coming off a close 29-26 defeat to the Seahawks, have a 4-6 record. Brian Robinson Jr. stood out in that game with 119 receiving yards on six catches, while quarterback Sam Howell threw for 312 yards and three touchdowns. However, the team’s defensive struggles were evident, surrendering 120 rushing yards and 369 passing yards.
Washington’s offense averages 21.7 points per game, ranking 17th in the league. They have a strong passing game, averaging 246.6 yards per game, but their rushing attack and penalties have been areas of concern. Defensively, the Commanders are allowing 27.4 points per game, ranking 31st in the NFL, and have shown vulnerabilities in defending both the run and the pass.
Who do you think will win this week’s Commanders/Giants against the spread?
Prediction: Both the Giants and the Commanders have the worst two defenses in the league, however, the Commanders offensive should take charge here reigning in another win this week.
Betting Pick: Commanders 24-19
| Team Stats | NYG | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2884 | 3662 |
| Passing Yards | 1456 | 2466 |
| Rushing Yards | 1136 | 879 |
| Average Yards per Play | 4 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 118 | 217 |
| Fumbles Lost | 4 | 6 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 9 | 9 |
| Sacks Allowed | 54 | 47 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 30% | 37% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 296:05 | 297:26 |
| Penalties | 57 | 59 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3813 | 3919 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2373 | 2643 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1312 | 1166 |
| Points Allowed | 266 | 274 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 4 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 6 |
| Sacks | 15 | 26 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 35% | 38% |
San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Levi’s Stadium
Time: 4:05 pm
| 49ers | Category | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | OFFENSE | 24th |
| 5th | DEFENSE | 18th |
| 11th | PASSING | 17th |
| 8th | RUSHING | 31st |
At Levi’s Stadium, the San Francisco 49ers (6-3) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5). San Francisco enters as the favored team with a spread of 11.5 points, and the game’s over/under is set at 41.
The Buccaneers, coming off a 20-6 victory against the Titans, carry a 4-5 record. In that game, Rachaad White led the rushing with 51 yards on 20 carries, while Mike Evans had an impressive 143 yards on six receptions.
Quarterback Baker Mayfield threw for 278 yards and two touchdowns, with a rating of 102.4. The Buccaneers’ defense held strong, limiting the Titans to just 42 rushing yards and a 48.7% completion rate in the passing game. Overall, Tampa Bay’s offense has been struggling in the run game, averaging only 78.1 yards per game, ranking 31st in the NFL.
Defensively, the Buccaneers are performing better, allowing only 19.2 points per game and ranking 8th in the league. Their pass defense, however, has been a weak point, conceding an average of 266.9 yards per game through the air.
On the other side, the 49ers come into this matchup with a 6-3 record after a commanding 34-3 victory over the Jaguars. Quarterback Brock Purdy threw for 296 yards and three touchdowns, while Christian McCaffrey led the rushing attack with 95 yards. George Kittle also made a significant impact with 116 receiving yards.
The 49ers’ offense is one of the best in the league, averaging 383.3 yards per game and ranking 3rd overall. They also boast a strong passing game, averaging 248.7 yards per game.
Defensively, San Francisco has been solid, allowing only 15.9 points per game, which places them 2nd in the NFL. Their run defense has been particularly effective, conceding just 83.1 rushing yards per game. Overall, the 49ers have a balanced and formidable team on both sides of the ball.
Who do you think will win this week’s 49ers/Buccaneers against the spread?
Prediction: The 49ers are well and truly one of the best teams so far this season, and while the Bucs are sitting mid tier racking up some decent wins so far they are outclassed this week. 49ers will take the win.
Betting Pick: 49ers 23-17
| Team Stats | TB | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2846 | 3548 |
| Passing Yards | 2057 | 2238 |
| Rushing Yards | 703 | 1212 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 7 |
| Points Scored | 178 | 252 |
| Fumbles Lost | 3 | 4 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 5 | 5 |
| Sacks Allowed | 16 | 16 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 39% | 44% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 276:35 | 256:30 |
| Penalties | 66 | 62 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3353 | 2893 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2402 | 1993 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 785 | 748 |
| Points Allowed | 173 | 143 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 7 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 13 |
| Sacks | 25 | 23 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 47% | 39% |
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Time: 4:25 pm
| Bills | Category | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | OFFENSE | 31st |
| 23rd | DEFENSE | 6th |
| 3rd | PASSING | 31st |
| 11th | RUSHING | 20th |
The Buffalo Bills (5-5) will host the New York Jets (4-5) at Highmark Stadium, with the Bills favored by 7 points and an over/under set at 40.
The Jets, coming off a 16-12 loss to the Raiders, are 4-5 for the season. Quarterback Zach Wilson passed for 263 yards with a rating of 68.6, though he threw one interception. Garrett Wilson was a key receiver, gaining 93 yards on nine catches.
The Jets accumulated 365 total yards, with 108 coming from their running game. Defensively, they allowed 148 rushing yards and 126 passing yards, showing some vulnerability against the run.
The Jets’ offense has been averaging 16.0 points per game, ranking 18th in the NFL for rushing yards at 103.9 per game. Their passing defense is strong, ranking 3rd with only 169.3 yards allowed per game, contributing to an overall ranking of 6th in total yards allowed.
The Bills, now 5-5, were defeated 24-22 by the Broncos in their last game. Josh Allen threw for 177 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. Running back James Cook led the ground game with 109 yards. The Bills’ offense managed a total of 369 yards. Despite their loss, Buffalo’s passing game is robust, averaging 253.6 yards per game, 7th in the NFL.
Buffalo’s defense, allowing 18.4 points per game, is 5th in the league. They’ve been relatively strong against both the pass and the run, conceding an average of 215.4 passing yards and 115.2 rushing yards per game. Their overall defensive play has been a key strength this season.
Who do you think will win this week’s Bills/Jets against the spread?
Prediction: The Bills have some of the best passing and offense in the league right now making them a huge threat to anyone they face, however the Jets defense is right up there with the best. It’s a tough call but this week were steering towards a Bills win.
Betting Pick: Bills 23-17
| Team Stats | NYJ | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2798 | 3765 |
| Passing Yards | 1613 | 2536 |
| Rushing Yards | 935 | 1165 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 138 | 262 |
| Fumbles Lost | 8 | 7 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 6 | 11 |
| Sacks Allowed | 34 | 13 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 25% | 49% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 289:36 | 302:09 |
| Penalties | 60 | 65 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2913 | 3494 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1524 | 2154 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1246 | 1152 |
| Points Allowed | 172 | 184 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 6 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 8 |
| Sacks | 25 | 33 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 39% | 41% |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Time: 4:25 pm
| Rams | Category | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | OFFENSE | 19th |
| 13th | DEFENSE | 19th |
| 15th | PASSING | 14th |
| 19th | RUSHING | 25th |
The Los Angeles Rams (3-6) are set to host the Seattle Seahawks (6-3) at SoFi Stadium, with Seattle entering as 1-point underdogs. The total betting line for the game is set at 46.
The Seahawks, coming off a 29-26 victory against the Commanders, have a 6-3 record. Quarterback Geno Smith had a strong performance, passing for 369 yards and two touchdowns with a quarterback rating of 103.9. D.K. Metcalf was a key receiver, gaining 98 yards on seven catches.
The Seahawks totaled 489 yards, with 120 coming from their running game. Defensively, they allowed 68 rushing yards and 288 passing yards, showing some vulnerability against the pass.
Seattle’s offense is averaging 22.2 points per game and ranks 24th in the NFL in rushing, with 99.8 yards per game. Their passing defense has been a weak point, ranking 17th and allowing 238.3 yards per game. Overall, they are allowing 22.3 points per game, ranking 20th in the NFL.
The Rams, who are 3-6, suffered a 20-3 loss to the Packers in their last game. Brett Rypien threw for 130 yards with a rating of 45.2, and Cooper Kupp led the receiving corps with 48 yards. The Rams’ offense struggled, totaling only 187 yards. Their rushing game could have been stronger, gaining just 68 yards.
Los Angeles’ offense averages 19.8 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league. Their passing game is slightly better, averaging 231.0 yards per game. However, their rushing attack and overall yardage have been areas of concern.
Defensively, the Rams are allowing 22.7 points per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL. They have been more effective against the pass, ranking 14th, but have struggled against the run, conceding an average of 122.8 rushing yards per game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Rams/Seahawks against the spread?
Prediction: Statistically, the Seahawks and the Rams are incredibly close, its anyone’s game, but if we had to pick (which we don’t suggest you do) we would be backing the Rams.
Betting Pick: Rams 19-17
| Team Stats | SEA | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3132 | 3186 |
| Passing Yards | 2085 | 2079 |
| Rushing Yards | 898 | 944 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 200 | 178 |
| Fumbles Lost | 3 | 2 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 7 | 8 |
| Sacks Allowed | 19 | 21 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 31% | 42% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 297:27 | 275:14 |
| Penalties | 64 | 50 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3394 | 3185 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2145 | 1955 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1044 | 1105 |
| Points Allowed | 201 | 204 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 7 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 4 |
| Sacks | 30 | 19 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 45% | 41% |
Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings
Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Time: 8:20 pm
| Broncos | Category | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| 26th | OFFENSE | 5th |
| 30th | DEFENSE | 20th |
| 29th | PASSING | 1st |
| 14th | RUSHING | 28th |
The Denver Broncos (4-5) are set to host the Minnesota Vikings (6-4) at Empower Field, with Denver favored by 2 points and an over/under of 43.5.
The Vikings, coming off a 27-19 win against the Saints, are led by quarterback Joshua Dobbs, who passed for 268 yards and a touchdown with a 101.1 rating in their last game.
Their offense, averaging 23.3 points per game, has been more effective through the air, with a total of 3,581 yards this season. However, they struggle in the running game, ranking 29th in the NFL. Defensively, Minnesota allows 20.9 points per game and is more robust against the run than the pass.
After a 24-22 victory over the Bills, Denver is led by quarterback Russell Wilson, who threw for 193 yards and two touchdowns. The Broncos’ offense averages 21.8 points per game but ranks lower in passing yards.
Though active in causing turnovers, their defence struggles overall, allowing 27.6 points per game and is particularly weak against the run. This matchup promises to be a competitive clash with both teams showing distinct strengths and weaknesses.
Who do you think will win this week’s Broncos/Vikings against the spread?
Prediction: The Vikings are doing pretty good this year and with a better offense, defense, and passing than the Broncos, they should walk away with a win this week.
Betting Pick: Vikings 25-21
| Team Stats | MIN | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3715 | 2862 |
| Passing Yards | 2724 | 1661 |
| Rushing Yards | 857 | 1056 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 221 | 190 |
| Fumbles Lost | 12 | 9 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 5 | 4 |
| Sacks Allowed | 23 | 30 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 41% | 40% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 306:37 | 279:41 |
| Penalties | 48 | 64 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3435 | 3751 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2244 | 2191 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 988 | 1425 |
| Points Allowed | 209 | 248 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 5 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 9 |
| Sacks | 27 | 17 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 43% | 38% |
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Monday, November 20, 2023
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Time: 8:15 pm
| Chiefs | Category | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | OFFENSE | 8th |
| 3rd | DEFENSE | 11th |
| 7th | PASSING | 12th |
| 21st | RUSHING | 10th |
The Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) are set to host the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with the Eagles as 2.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 46.
The Eagles, coming off a 28-23 win against the Cowboys, are led by quarterback Jalen Hurts, who threw for 207 yards and 2 TDs with a 130.2 rating. The Eagles’ offense, averaging 28.0 points per game, ranks 8th in rushing with 129.7 yards per game. Defensively, they allow 21.7 points per game, but their pass defense is weaker, ranking 11th in the NFL.
After a 21-14 victory over the Dolphins, the Chiefs rely on Patrick Mahomes, who passed for 185 yards and two touchdowns. Kansas City’s offense, averaging 23.1 points per game, is 7th in passing with 264.9 yards per game. Their defense is strong, allowing only 15.9 points per game and ranking 3rd in the NFL.
Both teams show strong offensive capabilities and defensive resilience, setting the stage for an extremely tough game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Chiefs/Eagles against the spread?
Prediction: The Chiefs and the Eagles are pretty well-rounded teams this season, winning against top-tier teams last week. The Eagles have scored 50 more points over the season than the Chiefs so far and based on that alone, our money is on the Eagles.
Betting Pick: Eagles 23-21
| Team Stats | PHI | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3514 | 3407 |
| Passing Yards | 2224 | 2384 |
| Rushing Yards | 1167 | 934 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 252 | 202 |
| Fumbles Lost | 5 | 7 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 8 | 10 |
| Sacks Allowed | 22 | 12 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 50% | 45% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 241:45 | 257:10 |
| Penalties | 47 | 60 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3108 | 2767 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2313 | 1584 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 597 | 1010 |
| Points Allowed | 195 | 143 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 6 | 8 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 5 |
| Sacks | 30 | 31 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 42% | 36% |
Byes
- Indianapolis Colts
- Atlanta Falcons
- New England Patriots
- New Orleans Saints
This Weeks NFL Parlay
- Ravens
- Browns
- Lions
- Texans
- Cowboys
This Weeks Mega NFL Parlay
- Ravens
- Browns
- Dolphins
- Lions
- Jaguars
- Chargers
- Texans
- Cowboys
- Commanders
- 49ers
- Bills
- Rams
- Vikings
- Eagles
Playing Teams Ranking
Below you will find All teams playing this week overall ranking (for games in week 11), to the right in OFFENSE, DEFENSE, PASSING, and RUSHING you will find the teams overall ranking of all 32 teams in the league.
*This is not all teams in the NFL, this is the statistical ranking of all teams playing in week 11 of the 2023 NFL season.
| Overall Ranking | Team | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | PASSING | RUSHING |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Dolphins | 1st | 10th | 2nd | 3rd |
| 2nd | Lions | 3rd | 8th | 6th | 7th |
| 3rd | Ravens | 4th | 4th | 16th | 1st |
| 4th | 49ers | 6th | 5th | 11th | 8th |
| 5th | Cowboys | 7th | 2nd | 9th | 13th |
| 6th | Bills | 2nd | 23rd | 3rd | 11th |
| 7th | Eagles | 8th | 11th | 12th | 10th |
| 8th | Chiefs | 14th | 3rd | 7th | 21st |
| 9th | Browns | 18th | 1st | 26th | 4th |
| 10th | Vikings | 5th | 20th | 1st | 28th |
| 11th | Texans | 11th | 14th | 4th | 26th |
| 12th | Bears | 15th | 21st | 24th | 2nd |
| 13th | Rams | 17th | 13th | 15th | 19th |
| 14th | Jaguars | 21st | 17th | 21st | 16th |
| 15th | Seahawks | 19th | 19th | 14th | 25th |
| 16th | Cardinals | 20th | 26th | 25th | 6th |
| 17th | Commanders | 13th | 32nd | 5th | 27th |
| 18th | Packers | 23rd | 9th | 23rd | 23rd |
| 19th | Chargers | 16th | 28th | 10th | 24th |
| 20th | Titans | 28th | 12th | 27th | 17th |
| 21st | Jets | 31st | 6th | 31st | 20th |
| 22nd | Buccaneers | 24th | 18th | 17th | 31st |
| 23rd | Panthers | 32nd | 7th | 28th | 30th |
| 24th | Broncos | 26th | 30th | 29th | 14th |
| 25th | Raiders | 25th | 24th | 22nd | 29th |
| 26th | Giants | 29th | 31st | 32nd | 12th |
| 27th | Bengals | 27th | 27th | 19th | 32nd |
| 28th | Steelers | 30th | 25th | 30th | 22nd |
NFL PICKS
NFL AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS
